Trump vs Harris: Polymarket shows that Trump has a 66% chance of winning the 2024 election. If he wins, it could lead to a big increase in the crypto market.
As the 2024 U.S. Presidential Election draws near, the race between Donald Trump and Kamala Harris is intensifying. On Polymarket, a cryptocurrency-based predictions platform, Trump’s chances of winning have jumped to 66%. This increase in Trump’s odds comes as investigators look into large bets that may be affecting the market. Both political watchers and crypto investors should pay attention to this trend.
Polymarket Checks Users as Election Odds Favor Trump
Polymarket, a platform for predicting election outcomes, is looking into its users to make sure that big bettors on the U.S. presidential election are located outside the U.S. Recent reports say that Polymarket is verifying the details of users who make large bets. They are worried that some U.S. residents might be using virtual private networks (VPNs) to get around the ban.
Right now, Donald Trump has a 63.7% chance of winning the presidential election on Polymarket, while Kamala Harris has a 36.2% chance. This increase in Trump’s odds is because of several large bets placed in his favor, showing that some investors are very confident he will win.
Mark Cuban and other investors think that most of the money on Polymarket is coming from people outside the U.S., so it doesn’t truly show what American voters think. In the past, Polymarket had problems with U.S. regulators for running betting markets without the right registration.
The Stakes for Bitcoin: Post-Election Boom Crypto
The 2024 U.S. Presidential Election affects more than just politics—it also has a big impact on the cryptocurrency market, especially Bitcoin. In the past, U.S. elections have influenced financial markets, and the same is true for crypto. Candidates’ policies on regulation can change how investors feel, affecting prices and trading activity.
Bitcoin prices have hit a three-month high, close to $70,000, boosted by hopes for favorable regulations after the election. Bitcoin exchange-traded funds (ETFs) have received about $2.4 billion in new investments, showing that investors are preparing for a possible market rally.
Currently, Bitcoin is trading at $66,000. However, if Donald Trump wins the 2024 election, many investors predict that Bitcoin and other Trump-themed meme coins will rise significantly. This is because Trump is known as a strong supporter of cryptocurrencies.
Trump vs Harris: Regulatory Perspectives
Trump and Harris have different opinions on cryptocurrency, which matters for Bitcoin’s future. Trump has publicly supported cryptocurrencies, even referring to Bitcoin as a “Trump trade.” If he wins, his administration might make regulations easier, reducing risks and attracting large investors, which could help the crypto market grow.
On the other hand, Kamala Harris has promised to set clear rules for the cryptocurrency market, which would increase oversight. While this could make Bitcoin more stable in the long run, it might also bring more scrutiny and restrictions that could slow its growth.
Market Reactions and Predictions 2024
Experts think the election results could lead to big changes in Bitcoin prices. Edul Patel CEO of Mudrex said, that if Trump wins and declares Bitcoin a strategic reserve, it could make the market more exciting.
Vikram Subburaj, CEO of Giottus Crypto Platform, said that if Trump wins, it could lower regulatory risks and bring in more investment for Bitcoin. In contrast, if Harris wins, her clear rules could help make Bitcoin’s price more stable. This situation highlights the uncertainty of the election, so investors should keep an eye on political news.
As we get closer to the 2024 U.S. Presidential Election, the battle between Trump and Harris is not just about politics; it’s also a crucial time for the cryptocurrency market. Trump’s odds on Polymarket have risen due to investigations into big bets, showing that more people believe he could win. The result of this election could greatly affect Bitcoin’s future by changing its regulations and market conditions.
With Bitcoin already hitting impressive highs and the chance for more growth, investors should closely watch the election results and any regulatory changes that might come after. Whether Trump wins and boosts the market or Harris wins and offers clear regulations, the effects on Bitcoin and the entire cryptocurrency market will be significant. The link between politics and finance is always changing, and this upcoming election is an important moment for everyone involved.
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Also Read: Trump’s Election 2024 Win: Will His Tax Plan and Pro-Crypto Policies Fuel Bitcoin